Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.261954 0.302382 0.346649 0.398673 0.458096 0.523811 0.601953
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.194966 0.248162 0.311920 0.393778 0.495894 0.618884 0.778054
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.160080 0.220539 0.298476 0.405877 0.549571 0.734673 0.990644
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.135680 0.199849 0.287794 0.416377 0.598716 0.847013 1.209594
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.118562 0.185116 0.281313 0.429348 0.650036 0.965170 1.447196
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.105486 0.173538 0.276694 0.442838 0.701745 1.087268 1.701487
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.089579 0.154815 0.258223 0.432033 0.714310 1.151298 1.874267
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.077142 0.139590 0.242782 0.423223 0.727653 1.216088 2.052580
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.070548 0.133119 0.240494 0.435096 0.774910 1.337928 2.332498
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.067206 0.131795 0.246548 0.461450 0.848676 1.509283 2.709510
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.061793 0.125851 0.243588 0.471246 0.894173 1.636437 3.022203
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.055964 0.118257 0.236591 0.472610 0.924200 1.738722 3.299680
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.050244 0.110210 0.227988 0.470359 0.948064 1.833617 3.575669
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044853 0.102080 0.218234 0.464719 0.964856 1.917132 3.838803
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042097 0.099130 0.218452 0.478918 1.021695 2.080767 4.268260
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.039433 0.095988 0.217843 0.491222 1.075765 2.243551 4.710179
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.037269 0.093654 0.218621 0.506411 1.137058 2.425533 5.205520
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.035331 0.091571 0.219663 0.522201 1.201031 2.618178 5.738752
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.031539 0.084466 0.208550 0.509555 1.201994 2.680711 6.007303
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.028337 0.078357 0.198971 0.499242 1.206868 2.751493 6.298808
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.026943 0.076681 0.199691 0.513140 1.267971 2.948231 6.878771
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.026596 0.077723 0.207132 0.543980 1.371317 3.246101 7.705707
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.025195 0.075710 0.206723 0.555440 1.429795 3.448374 8.334610